What is my Chance of Delivering a Baby without Fertility Treatment?
Women may ask what are my odds of delivering a baby in the next 12 months without any fertility investigation or treatment?
Let me start by saying that a consultation with a reproductive endocrinologist can help you identify any fertility factors unknown to you Moreover, evaluation of your ovarian reserve can give you an estimate how long can you continue to try. Safety is another aspect of consultation as it can identify medical, obstetric and genetic risk factors to having a baby.
Chance of Spontaneously Pregnancy in One Year (treatment independent)
Ignoring all these aspects, the chance of getting pregnant with intercourse alone, within one year, is strongly related to age. Data from The American Community Survey (ACS) and National Center for Health Statistics (NSHS) based on study of millions of American women can provide an approximate answer.
If one 100 women living in The US tried to conceive, the odds of giving birth in the coming 12 months based on their age group would be
Age(y) ACS (%) NCHS (%)
20–24 21.5 23.2
25–29 26.9 28.4
30–34 26.6 25.6
35–39 14.5 11.9
40–44 5.0 2.8
45–50 2.3 1
Monthly Fecundity Rate
The odds of getting pregnant and delivering a child each month is a also a function of age.
One other aspect to consider is how long have you been trying = how long have been having intercourse with no birth control methods (irrespective of timing of intercourse or any other arrangements). The longer you have been trying with no success, the lower the chance for spontaneous conception.
The chance for spontaneous conception can give women realistic guidance of their odds for spontaneous pregnancy with time and minimize delay in seeking fertility consultation that can be detrimental to future fertility.What is my Chance of Delivering a Baby without Fertility Treatment? by Dr. Amr Azim